9 Comments
Apr 18Liked by David Castillo

Thanks for the article! A question I’ve had for awhile… is the ice at AAC ranked among the worst in the league, or is it just average-normally bad because it’s shared/covered by a BB floor??? Lots of fans will say it’s the heat, the crowd etc… to me that just means AAC mgmt is too cheap to invest in better AC dehumidifiers! (These are the same guys who replaced the seats with smaller seats!!!)

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Apr 18Liked by David Castillo

Is Lundkvist being insulated because of his play or in fear of what his play could be? I know we're beating a dead horse with this but it seems like he gets fewer and fewer minutes per game while not really having a net negative impact.

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Thanks for the answer and the shoutout! I agree with this part wholeheartedly, "That doesn’t mean it’ll be an easy out. It just means I don’t usually take seriously a contender that wasn’t expected to contend before the season started." I vaguely remember back when FiveThirtyEight used to do sports (RIP) they had an article showing pre-season rankings for college basketball (I think? might have been football) were more predictive than in-season rankings/seeding for March Madness. Obviously sample size and varying schedule strength make results a little more random thank the NHL, but still interesting. I don't know if that's ever been looked at for hockey, but I would guess that pre-season odds do have some predictive power as a "prior".

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You mention that Oettinger didn't get back above .906, but, check out Otter's SV% and GAA over the last month. #1 in both categories vs all other starters. That's what you want to see going into the playoffs.

https://www.nhl.com/stats/goalies?reportType=game&dateFrom=2024-03-18&dateTo=2024-04-18&gameType=2&filter=gamesStarted,gte,7&sort=savePct&page=0&pageSize=50

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